R Under development (unstable) (2024-10-26 r87273 ucrt) -- "Unsuffered Consequences" Copyright (C) 2024 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64 R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY. You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions. Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details. R is a collaborative project with many contributors. Type 'contributors()' for more information and 'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications. Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or 'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help. Type 'q()' to quit R. > library(tsDyn) > suppressWarnings(RNGversion("3.5.3")) > > ### linear > grid <- expand.grid(include = c( "const", "trend","none", "both"), + lag = 1:3) > all_lin <- mapply(linear, include = as.character(grid$include), m = grid$lag, MoreArgs = list(x = lh), + SIMPLIFY = FALSE) > names(all_lin) <- paste(grid$include, "l", grid$lag, sep="_") > lapply(all_lin, coef) $const_l_1 const phi.1 0.9998652 0.5859870 $trend_l_1 trend phi.1 0.008879993 0.895448654 $none_l_1 phi.1 0.9836385 $both_l_1 const trend phi.1 0.960001423 0.007328862 0.529055888 $const_l_2 const phi.1 phi.2 1.2281886 0.7110028 -0.2217373 $trend_l_2 trend phi.1 phi.2 0.009393203 0.896697060 -0.004950298 $none_l_2 phi.1 phi.2 0.95299035 0.03115904 $both_l_2 const trend phi.1 phi.2 1.217407570 0.009017984 0.659082417 -0.254184319 $const_l_3 const phi.1 phi.2 phi.3 1.53752119 0.65782378 -0.06581322 -0.23483547 $trend_l_3 trend phi.1 phi.2 phi.3 0.00960834 0.89440447 -0.06374027 0.06254620 $none_l_3 phi.1 phi.2 phi.3 0.94986030 -0.05445084 0.09133812 $both_l_3 const trend phi.1 phi.2 phi.3 1.58894725 0.01110629 0.58395447 -0.07693093 -0.27902573 > > ## compare with ar? > ar_1_noMean <- ar(lh, order.max =1, demean = FALSE, method = "ols") > ar_1_Mean <- ar(lh, order.max =1, demean = TRUE, method = "ols") > > ar_2_noMean <- ar(lh, aic = FALSE, order.max =2, demean = FALSE, method = "ols") > ar_2_Mean <- ar(lh, aic = FALSE, order.max =2, demean = TRUE, method = "ols") > > ## compare coefs > all.equal(coef(all_lin[["const_l_1"]])[2], ar_1_Mean$ar[,,1], check.attributes = FALSE) [1] TRUE > all.equal(coef(all_lin[["none_l_1"]]), ar_1_noMean$ar[,,1], check.attributes = FALSE) [1] TRUE > > all.equal(coef(all_lin[["const_l_2"]])[-1], ar_2_Mean$ar[,,1], check.attributes = FALSE) [1] TRUE > all.equal(coef(all_lin[["none_l_2"]]), ar_2_noMean$ar[,,1], check.attributes = FALSE) [1] TRUE > > ## compare means: intercept in ar is (1-phi)(diff means), ch Hamilton 3.4.35 > ## diff means is difference between estimated mean, and c/(1- phi) > linear_1_Mean <- all_lin[["const_l_1"]] > comp_means <- function(ar, linear) { + ar_empimean <- ar$x.mean + ar_int <- ar$x.intercept + lin_coefs <- coef(linear) + lin_LR_mean <- ar_mean(linear) + diff_means <- lin_LR_mean - ar_empimean + res <- c(ar_int = ar_int, diff = (1- sum(lin_coefs[-1])) * diff_means) + list(res, check = all.equal(res[1], res[2], check.attributes = FALSE)) + } > comp_means(ar = ar_1_Mean, linear = linear_1_Mean)$check [1] TRUE > comp_means(ar = ar_2_Mean, linear = all_lin[["const_l_2"]] )$check [1] TRUE > > > ## predict? > all_lin_const <- all_lin[grep("const", names(all_lin))] > all_lin_pred <- lapply(all_lin_const, predict, n.ahead = 5) > > ar_1_Mean_pred <- predict(ar_1_Mean, n.ahead = 5)$pred > > all.equal(ar_1_Mean_pred, all_lin_pred[["const_l_1"]], check.attributes = TRUE) [1] TRUE > > ## ar_mean > all_lin_noTrend <- all_lin[grep("const|none", names(all_lin))] > sapply(all_lin_noTrend, ar_mean) const_l_1.ar_mean none_l_1.ar_mean const_l_2.ar_mean none_l_2.ar_mean 2.415057 0.000000 2.404750 0.000000 const_l_3.ar_mean none_l_3.ar_mean 2.391820 0.000000 > > > ## charac root > do.call("rbind", lapply(all_lin_noTrend, charac_root)) root value_all const_l_1 1 1.706523 none_l_1 1 1.016634 const_l_2.1 1 2.123638 const_l_2.2 2 2.123638 none_l_2.1 1 1.015604 none_l_2.2 2 31.600320 const_l_3.1 1 1.360258 const_l_3.2 2 2.301410 const_l_3.3 3 1.360258 none_l_3.1 1 1.011858 none_l_3.2 2 3.289381 none_l_3.3 3 3.289381 > > proc.time() user system elapsed 1.46 0.37 1.82