TRIM 3.70 : TRend analysis and Indices for Monitoring data STATISTICS NETHERLANDS Date/Time: 3-10-2016 11:53:53 Title : skylark-4b Comment: Now with preset changepoints The following 6 variables have been read from file: Z:\Users\patrick\Work\CBS\TRIM\wine\skylark_wt.dat 1. Site number of values: 55 2. Time number of values: 8 3. Count missing = 999 4. weight 5. HABITAT number of values: 2 6. COV2 number of values: 4 Number of observed zero counts 0 Number of observed positive counts 202 Total number of observed counts 202 Number of missing counts 238 Total number of counts 440 Total count 2536.0 Sites containing more than 10% of the total count Site Number Observed Total % 3 431.0 17.0 37 266.0 10.5 40 624.0 24.6 Time Point Averages Weighted Weighted TimePoint Observations Average Index Average Index 1 25 8.52 1.00 30.12 1.00 2 20 8.10 0.95 27.00 0.90 3 30 10.90 1.28 24.10 0.80 4 30 11.27 1.32 23.87 0.79 5 28 12.75 1.50 23.36 0.78 6 29 14.66 1.72 36.38 1.21 7 22 17.00 2.00 31.73 1.05 8 18 18.89 2.22 35.39 1.17 RESULTS FOR MODEL: Linear Trend -------------------------------- Changes in Slope at Timepoints 1 2 WEIGHTING = On ESTIMATION METHOD = Maximum Likelihood Total time used: 0.72 seconds GOODNESS OF FIT Chi-square 190.45, df 145, p 0.0000 Likelihood Ratio 186.75, df 145, p 0.0000 AIC (up to a constant) -103.25 WALD-TEST FOR SIGNIFICANCE OF CHANGES IN SLOPE Changepoint Wald-Test df p 1 13.44 1 0.0002 2 18.63 1 0.0000 PARAMETER ESTIMATES Slope for Time Intervals from upto Additive std.err. Multiplicative std.err. 1 2 -0.3108 0.0848 0.7329 0.0621 2 8 0.0798 0.0120 1.0831 0.0130 Time INDICES Time Model std.err. Imputed std.err. 1 1 1 2 0.7329 0.0621 0.7530 0.0721 3 0.7938 0.0639 0.7947 0.0739 4 0.8597 0.0669 0.8109 0.0748 5 0.9311 0.0716 0.8059 0.0762 6 1.0084 0.0786 0.9241 0.0860 7 1.0922 0.0881 0.9706 0.0898 8 1.1829 0.1007 1.0027 0.0984 TIME TOTALS Time Model std.err. Imputed std.err. 1 1424 119 1533 127 2 1044 68 1154 83 3 1130 67 1218 85 4 1224 67 1243 88 5 1326 70 1235 93 6 1436 77 1417 101 7 1556 88 1488 106 8 1685 105 1537 121 OVERALL SLOPE MODEL (with intercept) Additive std.err. Multiplicative std.err. 0.0472 0.0103 1.0484 0.0108 OVERALL SLOPE IMPUTED (with intercept, recommended) Additive std.err. Multiplicative std.err. 0.0206 0.0114 1.0209 0.0116 OVERALL SLOPE MODEL (through base time point) Additive std.err. Multiplicative std.err. 0.0017 0.0156 1.0017 0.0156 OVERALL SLOPE IMPUTED (through base time point) Additive std.err. Multiplicative std.err. -0.0199 0.0163 0.9803 0.0160