TRIM 3.61 : TRend analysis and Indices for Monitoring data STATISTICS NETHERLANDS Date/Time: 6-9-2016 9:25:20 Title : skylark-2b: The following 5 variables have been read from file: Z:\Users\patrick\Work\CBS\TRIM\wine\skylark.dat 1. Site number of values: 55 2. Time number of values: 8 3. Count missing = 999 4. HABITAT number of values: 2 5. COV2 number of values: 4 Number of sites without positive counts (removed) 0 Number of observed zero counts 0 Number of observed positive counts 202 Total number of observed counts 202 Number of missing counts 238 Total number of counts 440 Total count 2536.0 Sites containing more than 10% of the total count Site Number Observed Total % 3 431.0 17.0 37 266.0 10.5 40 624.0 24.6 Time Point Averages TimePoint Observations Average Index 1 25 8.52 1.00 2 20 8.10 0.95 3 30 10.90 1.28 4 30 11.27 1.32 5 28 12.75 1.50 6 29 14.66 1.72 7 22 17.00 2.00 8 18 18.89 2.22 RESULTS FOR MODEL: Effects for Each Time Point ---------------------------------------------- Effects of covariate(s) HABITAT ESTIMATION METHOD = Generalised Estimating Equations Total time used: 1.36 seconds Estimated Overdispersion = 1.162 Estimated Serial Correlation = 0.227 GOODNESS OF FIT Chi-square 154.50, df 133, p 0.0979 Likelihood Ratio 159.64, df 133, p 0.0575 AIC (up to a constant) -106.36 WALD-TEST FOR SIGNIFICANCE OF COVARIATES Covariate Wald-Test df p HABITAT 21.55 7 0.0030 PARAMETER ESTIMATES Additive std.err. Multiplicative std.err. Constant -------- Time 1 0.0000 0.0000 1.0000 0.0000 2 -0.2165 0.1991 0.8053 0.1604 3 -0.3781 0.2303 0.6851 0.1578 4 -0.4982 0.2437 0.6076 0.1481 5 -0.7392 0.2565 0.4775 0.1225 6 -0.5213 0.2409 0.5938 0.1430 7 -0.6366 0.2634 0.5291 0.1393 8 -0.7215 0.2652 0.4860 0.1289 Covariate 1 ------------ Category 2 Time 1 0.0000 0.0000 1.0000 0.0000 2 -0.1445 0.2324 0.8655 0.2011 3 0.2771 0.2553 1.3194 0.3369 4 0.3865 0.2681 1.4718 0.3946 5 0.7747 0.2790 2.1700 0.6053 6 0.6449 0.2643 1.9058 0.5036 7 0.8588 0.2856 2.3603 0.6742 8 1.0308 0.2883 2.8032 0.8081 Time INDICES Time Model std.err. Imputed std.err. 1 1 1 2 0.7281 0.0751 0.7234 0.0751 3 0.8411 0.0846 0.8422 0.0848 4 0.8119 0.0835 0.8145 0.0838 5 0.8757 0.0886 0.8765 0.0888 6 0.9771 0.0987 0.9792 0.0990 7 1.0420 0.1068 1.0433 0.1071 8 1.1106 0.1155 1.1219 0.1164 TIME TOTALS Time Model std.err. Imputed std.err. 1 526 44 526 44 2 383 36 380 36 3 443 30 443 30 4 427 28 428 28 5 461 29 461 29 6 514 29 515 29 7 548 34 548 34 8 585 38 590 38 OVERALL SLOPE MODEL: Moderate increase (p<0.01) ** Additive std.err. Multiplicative std.err. 0.0363 0.0134 1.0370 0.0139 OVERALL SLOPE IMPUTED+(recommended): Moderate increase (p<0.01) ** Additive std.err. Multiplicative std.err. 0.0376 0.0134 1.0384 0.0140