TRIM 3.61 : TRend analysis and Indices for Monitoring data STATISTICS NETHERLANDS Date/Time: 4-7-2016 15:08:28 Title : skylark-1d Comment: Example 1; using linear trend model The following 5 variables have been read from file: F:\TRIM\TRIM_manual_demo\skylark.dat 1. Site number of values: 55 2. Time number of values: 8 3. Count missing = 999 4. HABITAT number of values: 2 5. COV2 number of values: 4 Number of sites without positive counts (removed) 0 Number of observed zero counts 0 Number of observed positive counts 202 Total number of observed counts 202 Number of missing counts 238 Total number of counts 440 Total count 2536.0 Sites containing more than 10% of the total count Site Number Observed Total % 3 431.0 17.0 37 266.0 10.5 40 624.0 24.6 Time Point Averages TimePoint Observations Average Index 1 25 8.52 1.00 2 20 8.10 0.95 3 30 10.90 1.28 4 30 11.27 1.32 5 28 12.75 1.50 6 29 14.66 1.72 7 22 17.00 2.00 8 18 18.89 2.22 RESULTS FOR MODEL: Linear Trend --------------------------------- ESTIMATION METHOD = Generalised Estimating Equations Total time used: 3.23 seconds Estimated Overdispersion = 1.439 Estimated Serial Correlation = 0.281 GOODNESS OF FIT Chi-square 210.09, df 146, p 0.0004 Likelihood Ratio 175.28, df 146, p 0.0495 AIC (up to a constant) -116.72 WALD-TEST FOR SIGNIFICANCE OF SLOPE PARAMETER Wald-Test 11.69, df 1, p 0.0006 PARAMETER ESTIMATES Additive std.err. Multiplicative std.err. Slope 0.0484 0.0142 1.0496 0.0149 Time INDICES Time Model std.err. Imputed std.err. 1 1 1 2 1.0496 0.0149 0.8948 0.0410 3 1.1017 0.0312 0.9777 0.0601 4 1.1563 0.0491 0.9790 0.0678 5 1.2137 0.0687 1.0698 0.0800 6 1.2738 0.0902 1.1727 0.0945 7 1.3370 0.1136 1.2527 0.1094 8 1.4033 0.1391 1.3226 0.1283 TIME TOTALS Time Model std.err. Imputed std.err. 1 404 26 443 28 2 424 23 396 26 3 445 19 433 26 4 468 17 434 26 5 491 17 474 26 6 515 20 519 28 7 541 25 555 30 8 567 32 586 35 OVERALL SLOPE MODEL: Moderate increase (p<0.01) ** Additive std.err. Multiplicative std.err. 0.0484 0.0142 1.0496 0.0149 OVERALL SLOPE IMPUTED+(recommended): Moderate increase (p<0.01) ** Additive std.err. Multiplicative std.err. 0.0509 0.0139 1.0522 0.0146