############################################################# ################Compare with Turnbull######################## ############################################################# test_that("Turnbull vs MSM", { ##############Data preparation################# set.seed(1) #Absorbing state 2 qmatrix <- rbind( c(-0.1, 0.1), c(0, 0) ) n <- 3 gd <- NULL for (i in 1:n) { smsm <- msm::sim.msm(qmatrix, 14) # inspection times uniformly on 2 year intervals until 14 years itimes <- seq(0, 12, by=2) + runif(7, 0, 2) gdi <- data.frame(id=i, state=evalstep(time=smsm$times, stepf=smsm$states, newtime=c(0,itimes)), time=c(0,itimes)) # throw away superfluous duplicate state 3 (absorbing) gdi <- gdi[!(gdi$state==3 & duplicated(gdi$state)),] gd <- rbind(gd, gdi) } #Which states can be reached from each state? tmat <- mstate::transMat(x = list( c(2), c() )) icdata <- NULL for(i in unique(gd$id)){ gdi <- subset(gd, id == i) L_idx <- Position(isTRUE, gdi$state <= 1, right = TRUE) L <- gdi$time[L_idx] #Exit time from state 1 if(L_idx < nrow(gdi)){ R <- gdi$time[L_idx + 1] } else{ R <- Inf } icdata <- rbind(icdata, c(L, R)) } icdata <- as.data.frame(icdata) colnames(icdata) <- c("L", "R") ############Apply algorithms#################### MSMres <- npmsm(gd = gd, tmat = tmat, tol = 1e-5) supportHein <- support_npmsm(MSMres, cutoff = 1e-5) #Visualise: #theinsupport <- visualise_msm(gd, tmat, MSMres, cutoff = 1e-5) Turnbull2 <- icenReg::ic_np(cbind(L, R) ~ 0, data = icdata) #Turnbull intervals #Turnbull2$T_bull_Intervals #Mass in those intervals #Turnbull2$p_hat t2res <- cbind(t(Turnbull2$T_bull_Intervals), matrix(Turnbull2$p_hat)) colnames(t2res) <- c("L", "R", "phat") expect_true(all.equal(t2res[, 1:2], supportHein$`State 1 -> State 2`$support[, 1:2])) }) test_that("Frydman (1995) vs MSM",{ tmat <- mstate::transMat(x = list( c(2, 3), c(3), c() )) set.seed(1) #Absorbing states 4 and 6 qmatrix <- rbind( c(-0.15, 0.1, 0.05), c(0, -0.1, 0.1), c(0, 0, 0) ) n <- 10 gd <- NULL for (i in 1:n) { smsm <- msm::sim.msm(qmatrix, 14) # inspection times uniformly on 2 year intervals until 14 years itimes <- seq(2, 24, by=3) + runif(8, 0, 2) gdi <- data.frame(id=i, state=evalstep(time=smsm$times, stepf=smsm$states, newtime=c(0,itimes)), time=c(0,itimes)) # throw away superfluous duplicate state 3 (absorbing) gdi <- gdi[!(gdi$state==3 & duplicated(gdi$state)),] gd <- rbind(gd, gdi) } #Create Frydman data msmtoFrydman <- function(gd){ #Create Frydman data gd_frydman <- NULL for(j in unique(gd$id)){ tempdat <- subset(gd, id == j) tempstates <- unique(tempdat$state) if(length(tempstates) == 1){ #If we only observe the subject in 1 state, right censored in 1 gdi_frydman <- data.frame(delta = 0, Delta = 0, L = NA, R = NA, time = tempdat$time[length(tempdat$time)]) } else if(length(tempstates) == 2){ #If we only observe the subject in 2 states, either 1->2 or 1->3 has occured if(all(tempstates %in% c(1,2))){ gdi_frydman <- data.frame(delta = 1, Delta = 0, L = tempdat$time[which.min(tempdat$state == 1)-1], R = tempdat$time[which.min(tempdat$state == 1)], time = tempdat$time[length(tempdat$time)]) } else if(all(tempstates %in% c(1,3))){ gdi_frydman <- data.frame(delta = 0, Delta = 1, L = NA, R = NA, time = tempdat$time[which.min(tempdat$state == 1)]) } } else if(length(tempstates) == 3){ #If we observe 3 states, then 1->2->3 must have occured gdi_frydman <- data.frame(delta = 1, Delta = 1, L = tempdat$time[which.min(tempdat$state == 1)-1], R = tempdat$time[which.min(tempdat$state == 1)], time = tempdat$time[length(tempdat$time)]) } gd_frydman <- rbind(gd_frydman, gdi_frydman) } return(gd_frydman) } gd_frydman <- msmtoFrydman(gd) out_frydman <- msm_frydman(gd_frydman, tol = 1e-10) out_msm <- npmsm(gd, tmat, maxit = 300, tol = 1e-10, exact = c(3)) out_msm_newmet <- npmsm(gd, tmat, maxit = 300, tol = 1e-10, exact = c(3), newmet = TRUE) suppMSM <- support_npmsm(out_msm, cutoff = 1e-9) suppMSM_newmet <- support_npmsm(out_msm_newmet, cutoff = 1e-9) print("Frydman Support") out_frydman$supportMSM$Q_mat print("MSM Support") suppMSM$`State 1 -> State 2`$support }) test_that("Multinomial vs Poisson", { set.seed(1) tmat <- mstate::trans.illdeath() #Function to generate evaluation times: at 0 and uniform inter-observation eval_times <- function(n_obs, stop_time){ cumsum( c( 0, runif( n_obs-1, 0, 2*(stop_time-4)/(n_obs-1) ) ) ) } #Simulate illness-death model data with Weibull transitions sim_dat <- sim_id_weib(n = 20, n_obs = 6, stop_time = 15, eval_times = eval_times, start_state = "stable", shape = c(0.5, 0.5, 2), scale = c(5, 10, 10/gamma(1.5))) mod_mult <- npmsm(gd = sim_dat, tmat = tmat, tol = 1e-2) mod_pois <- npmsm(gd = sim_dat, tmat = tmat, method = "poisson", tol = 1e-2) #The two models should not differ too much on the transition probabilities of the first and #second transition mult_pt <- transprob(mod_mult, predt = 0) pois_pt <- transprob(mod_pois, predt = 0) #Check closeness of 1->1, 1->2 and 1->3 transitions expect_true(all(mult_pt[[1]] - pois_pt[[1]] < 0.2)) #Check closeness of 2->2 transition expect_true(all(mult_pt[[2]][, 1:3] - pois_pt[[2]][, 1:3] < 0.2)) }) test_that("profvis", { #Code that should not run for testing. skip_if(TRUE) # Start with a difficult one right away set.seed(3) #Absorbing states 4 and 6 qmatrix <- rbind( c(-0.6, 0.1, 0.5, 0, 0, 0), c(0.08, -0.205, 0, 0, 0.125, 0), c(0, 0, -0.25, 0.25, 0, 0), c(0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0), c(0, 0, 0, 0, -0.4, 0.4), c(0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0) ) n <- 100 gd <- NULL for (i in 1:n) { smsm <- msm::sim.msm(qmatrix, 14) # inspection times uniformly on 2 year intervals until 14 years itimes <- seq(0, 12, by=2) + runif(7, 0, 2) gdi <- data.frame(id=i, state=evalstep(time=smsm$times, stepf=smsm$states, newtime=c(0,itimes)), time=c(0,itimes)) # throw away superfluous duplicate 4's ad 6's (absorbing) gdi <- gdi[!(gdi$state==4 & duplicated(gdi$state)),] gdi <- gdi[!(gdi$state==6 & duplicated(gdi$state)),] gd <- rbind(gd, gdi) } head(gd, n=12) tail(gd, n=12) #Which states can be reached from each state? tmat <- mstate::transMat(x = list( c(2, 3), c(1, 5), c(4), c(), c(6), c() )) a <- npmsm(gd = gd, tmat = tmat) #Compare with Frydman, 3 state illness-death model set.seed(140703) #Absorbing states 4 and 6 qmatrix <- rbind( c(-0.2, 0.1, 0.1), c(0, -0.1, 0.1), c(0, 0, 0) ) n <- 100 gd <- NULL for (i in 1:n) { smsm <- sim.msm(qmatrix, 14) # inspection times uniformly on 2 year intervals until 14 years itimes <- seq(0, 12, by=2) + runif(7, 0, 2) gdi <- data.frame(id=i, state=evalstep(time=smsm$times, stepf=smsm$states, newtime=c(0,itimes)), time=c(0,itimes)) # throw away superfluous duplicate state 3 (absorbing) gdi <- gdi[!(gdi$state==3 & duplicated(gdi$state)),] gd <- rbind(gd, gdi) } head(gd, n=12) tail(gd, n=12) #Which states can be reached from each state? tmat <- mstate::transMat(x = list( c(2, 3), c(3), c() )) b <- npmsm(gd = gd, tmat = tmat) #Write code here to perform Frydman EM for above data. #Profiling npmsm #library(profvis) #Compare with Frydman, 3 state illness-death model set.seed(140703) #Absorbing states 4 and 6 qmatrix <- rbind( c(-0.2, 0.1, 0.1), c(0, -0.1, 0.1), c(0, 0, 0) ) n <- 500 gd <- NULL for (i in 1:n) { smsm <- msm::sim.msm(qmatrix, 14) # inspection times uniformly on 2 year intervals until 14 years itimes <- seq(0, 12, by=2) + runif(7, 0, 2) gdi <- data.frame(id=i, state=evalstep(time=smsm$times, stepf=smsm$states, newtime=c(0,itimes)), time=c(0,itimes)) # throw away superfluous duplicate state 3 (absorbing) gdi <- gdi[!(gdi$state==3 & duplicated(gdi$state)),] gd <- rbind(gd, gdi) } #Which states can be reached from each state? tmat <- mstate::transMat(x = list( c(2, 3), c(3), c() )) b <- npmsm(gd = gd, tmat = tmat, tol = 1e-2) #profvis::profvis({ # b <- npmsm(gd = gd, tmat = tmat, tol = 1e-2) #}) }) test_that("Turnbull vs MSM (not everyone observed at 0)", { } )