context("test-nnetar") skip_if_not_installed("nnet") airmiles <- as_tsibble(airmiles) test_that("Automatic NNETAR selection", { air_fit <- airmiles %>% model(NNETAR(box_cox(value, 0.15))) expect_equal(model_sum(air_fit[[1]][[1]]), "NNAR(1,1)") # Test with xreg air_fit <- airmiles %>% model(NNETAR(box_cox(value, 0.15) ~ trend() + rnorm(length(index)))) air_fit <- airmiles %>% model(NNETAR(box_cox(value, 0.15) ~ trend())) # Test simulations air_fit %>% generate(h = 10, times = 5) # Test forecasts fc_sim <- air_fit %>% forecast(h = 10, times = 5) fc_boot <- air_fit %>% forecast(h = 10, times = 5, bootstrap = TRUE) expect_equal( mean(fc_sim$value), mean(fc_boot$value), tolerance = 100 ) # Short series expect_output( UKLungDeaths[1:24, ] %>% model(NNETAR(mdeaths)) %>% report(), "NNAR\\(4,1,3\\)\\[12\\]" ) }) test_that("Manual NNETAR selection", { fit <- UKLungDeaths %>% model(NNETAR(mdeaths ~ AR(p = 3, P = 2))) expect_equal(model_sum(fit[[1]][[1]]), "NNAR(3,2,3)[12]") expect_equal( with(augment(fit), .fitted + .resid)[-(1:24)], UKLungDeaths$mdeaths[-(1:24)] ) # Short series expect_warning( airmiles[1:5, ] %>% model(NNETAR(value ~ AR(10))), "Reducing number of lagged inputs due to short series" ) }) test_that("NNETAR with bad inputs", { expect_warning( airmiles[1:2, ] %>% model(NNETAR(value)), "Not enough data to fit a model" ) expect_warning( airmiles %>% model(NNETAR(resp(rep_along(value, NA)))), "All observations are missing, a model cannot be estimated without data" ) expect_warning( airmiles %>% model(NNETAR(resp(rep_along(value, 1)))), "Constant data, setting `AR\\(p=1, P=0\\)`, and `scale_inputs=FALSE`" ) expect_warning( airmiles %>% model(NNETAR(value ~ rep_along(value, 1))), "Constant xreg column, setting `scale_inputs=FALSE`" ) })