# Tests for estimate_ascertainment() # load Ebola 1976 outbreak data data("ebola1976") # define poisson threshold poisson_threshold <- 100 test_that("Basic expectations for static ascertainment", { ascertainment_estimate <- estimate_ascertainment( data = ebola1976, severity_baseline = 0.7 ) expect_s3_class(ascertainment_estimate, "data.frame") expect_named( ascertainment_estimate, c("ascertainment_estimate", "ascertainment_low", "ascertainment_high") ) expect_true( all( apply(ascertainment_estimate, 2, function(x) x >= 0.0 && x <= 1.0) ) ) expect_true( all( ascertainment_estimate$ascertainment_low <= ascertainment_estimate$ascertainment_estimate && ascertainment_estimate$ascertainment_estimate <= ascertainment_estimate$ascertainment_high ) ) # snapshot test expect_snapshot( estimate_ascertainment(data = ebola1976, severity_baseline = 0.7) ) }) test_that("Correct for delays for static ascertainment", { ascertainment_estimate <- estimate_ascertainment( data = ebola1976, delay_density = function(x) dgamma(x, shape = 2.40, scale = 3.33), severity_baseline = 0.7 ) expect_s3_class(ascertainment_estimate, "data.frame") expect_named( ascertainment_estimate, c("ascertainment_estimate", "ascertainment_low", "ascertainment_high") ) expect_true( all( apply(ascertainment_estimate, 2, function(x) x >= 0.0 && x <= 1.0) ) ) expect_true( all( ascertainment_estimate$ascertainment_low <= ascertainment_estimate$ascertainment_estimate && ascertainment_estimate$ascertainment_estimate <= ascertainment_estimate$ascertainment_high ) ) # snapshot test expect_snapshot( estimate_ascertainment( data = ebola1976, delay_density = function(x) dgamma(x, shape = 2.40, scale = 3.33), severity_baseline = 0.7 ) ) }) # load covid data data("covid_data") # subset data covid_uk <- covid_data[covid_data$country == "United Kingdom" & covid_data$date <= "2020-06-30", ] test_that("Static ascertainment from vignette", { expect_snapshot( estimate_ascertainment( data = covid_uk, delay_density = function(x) dlnorm(x, meanlog = 2.577, sdlog = 0.440), severity_baseline = 0.014 ) ) }) # test for a warning from ascertainment ratios > 1.0 # artificially set baseline severity to be very high # this is more an issue for infections with lower reporting such as Covid-19 test_that("Ascertainment > 1.0 throws a warning", { expect_warning( estimate_ascertainment( data = ebola1976, delay_density = function(x) dgamma(x, shape = 2.40, scale = 3.33), severity_baseline = 0.9 ), regexp = "Ascertainment ratios > 1.0 detected, setting these values to 1.0" ) }) #### Test statistical correctness of ascertainment #### test_that("Ascertainment is statistically correct", { # simple assumptions # assume 1% true CFR severity_baseline <- 0.01 daily_cases <- 500 daily_deaths <- 10 data <- data.frame( date = as.Date("2020-01-01") + seq(0, 99), cases = rep(daily_cases, 100), deaths = rep(daily_deaths, 100) ) # exepect estimate is 0.5 expect_identical( estimate_ascertainment( data, severity_baseline = 0.01 )$ascertainment_estimate, severity_baseline / (daily_deaths / daily_cases) ) })