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Type 'q()' to quit R. > if (requireNamespace("testthat", quietly = TRUE)) { + library(testthat) + library(arimasel) + test_check("arimasel") + } ==================================================== arimasel v0.2.0 -- Cartesian Product (S)ARIMA Author : Olushina Olawale Awe (PStat, CStat) GitHub : github.com/Olawaleawe/arimasel ==================================================== Cartesian Product P x D x Q P = {0, 1} D = {0, 1} Q = {0, 1} Total candidate model(s): 8 Candidate ARIMA models: ARIMA(0,0,0) ARIMA(0,0,1) ARIMA(1,0,0) ARIMA(1,0,1) ARIMA(0,1,0) ARIMA(0,1,1) ARIMA(1,1,0) ARIMA(1,1,1) Cartesian Product P x D x Q P = {0, 1, 2} D = {0, 1} Q = {0, 1, 2} Total candidate model(s): 18 Candidate ARIMA models: ARIMA(0,0,0) ARIMA(0,0,1) ARIMA(0,0,2) ARIMA(1,0,0) ARIMA(1,0,1) ARIMA(1,0,2) ARIMA(2,0,0) ARIMA(2,0,1) ARIMA(2,0,2) ARIMA(0,1,0) ARIMA(0,1,1) ARIMA(0,1,2) ARIMA(1,1,0) ARIMA(1,1,1) ARIMA(1,1,2) ARIMA(2,1,0) ARIMA(2,1,1) ARIMA(2,1,2) Cartesian Product P x D x Q P = {0, 1} D = {1} Q = {0, 1} Total candidate model(s): 4 Candidate ARIMA models: ARIMA(0,1,0) ARIMA(0,1,1) ARIMA(1,1,0) ARIMA(1,1,1) Stationarity Test Battery (alpha = 0.05) n = 80 observations Test Statistic p_value Conclusion ADF (H0: unit root) -2.7626 0.1238 Non-stationary PP (H0: unit root) -35.4815 0.0100 Stationary KPSS (H0: stationary) 0.1867 0.1000 Stationary Consensus : Stationary | Suggested d : 0 Stationarity Test Battery (alpha = 0.05) n = 80 observations Test Statistic p_value Conclusion ADF (H0: unit root) -2.2470 0.1547 Non-stationary PP (H0: unit root) -10.7484 0.4833 Non-stationary KPSS (H0: stationary) 1.6521 0.0100 Non-stationary Consensus : Non-stationary | Suggested d : 1 Stationarity Test Battery (alpha = 0.05) n = 80 observations Test Statistic p_value Conclusion ADF (H0: unit root) -2.7626 0.1238 Non-stationary PP (H0: unit root) -35.4815 0.0100 Stationary KPSS (H0: stationary) 0.1867 0.1000 Stationary Consensus : Stationary | Suggested d : 0 Fitting cart_arima... Fitting auto.arima... --- Model Comparison --- Method Model AIC AICc BIC HQIC cart_arima ARIMA(1,0,1) 235 235 244 238 auto.arima ARIMA(2,0,0) 232 232 239 235 Winner (most metric wins): auto.arima Fitting cart_arima... Fitting auto.arima... --- Model Comparison --- Method Model AIC AICc BIC HQIC cart_arima ARIMA(1,0,1) 235 235 244 238 auto.arima ARIMA(2,0,0) 232 232 239 235 Winner (most metric wins): auto.arima Stationarity Test Battery (alpha = 0.05) n = 80 observations Test Statistic p_value Conclusion ADF (H0: unit root) -2.7626 0.1238 Non-stationary PP (H0: unit root) -35.4815 0.0100 Stationary KPSS (H0: stationary) 0.1867 0.1000 Stationary Consensus : Stationary | Suggested d : 0 Exploratory Data Analysis ========================== n = 80 | frequency = 1 (non-seasonal) mean = -0.0072 | sd = 1.2267 | skewness = 0.1535 | kurtosis = -0.0608 spectral entropy = 0.7894 | ACF(1) = 0.5466 ADF statistic = -2.7626 (p ~ 0.1238) Suggested d = 1 Stationarity Test Battery (alpha = 0.05) n = 80 observations Test Statistic p_value Conclusion ADF (H0: unit root) -2.7626 0.1238 Non-stationary PP (H0: unit root) -35.4815 0.0100 Stationary KPSS (H0: stationary) 0.1867 0.1000 Stationary Consensus : Stationary | Suggested d : 0 Exploratory Data Analysis ========================== n = 80 | frequency = 1 (non-seasonal) mean = -0.0072 | sd = 1.2267 | skewness = 0.1535 | kurtosis = -0.0608 spectral entropy = 0.7894 | ACF(1) = 0.5466 ADF statistic = -2.7626 (p ~ 0.1238) Suggested d = 1 Stationarity Test Battery (alpha = 0.05) n = 72 observations Test Statistic p_value Conclusion ADF (H0: unit root) -7.0220 0.0100 Stationary PP (H0: unit root) -24.9181 0.0164 Stationary KPSS (H0: stationary) 0.0650 0.1000 Stationary Consensus : Stationary | Suggested d : 0 Exploratory Data Analysis ========================== n = 72 | frequency = 12 mean = 0.1192 | sd = 7.3500 | skewness = -0.0605 | kurtosis = -1.4930 trend strength = 0.4142 | seasonal strength = 0.9859 spectral entropy = 0.1722 | ACF(1) = 0.8578 ADF statistic = -7.0220 (p ~ 0.0100) Suggested d = 0 | Suggested D = 1 smart_arima: feature-guided search space seasonal strength = NA | trend strength = NA | entropy = 0.789 d_set = {1,2} smart_arima: feature-guided search space seasonal strength = 0.986 | trend strength = 0.414 | entropy = 0.172 d_set = {0,1} | seasonal D = {1}, period = 12 smart_arima: feature-guided search space seasonal strength = NA | trend strength = NA | entropy = 0.789 d_set = {1,2} [ FAIL 0 | WARN 12 | SKIP 0 | PASS 101 ] [ FAIL 0 | WARN 12 | SKIP 0 | PASS 101 ] > > proc.time() user system elapsed 12.03 0.78 12.76